The Pitfall and the Pendulum: A Scenario Planning Case Study
This case study encourages participants to elicit problems and potential pitfalls in a situation when everything appears to be going well. Allow around 45 minutes for completion.
Planning
All organizations need to have a plan in place that establishes a clear, coherent and realistic view of what they want to achieve, when they want to achieve it and how they’re going to do it. Explore this selection of tools and techniques to help you design the perfect plan for your team, department or organization, and develop your understanding of the role scenario planning can play.
Identifying Factors Which Cause Change
This is a lively and informal group exercise designed to get participants thinking about the ‘warning signs’ of changes that may affect their future. It will take about 25 minutes to complete. (No separate task sheet is required.)
Royal Dutch/Shell
Royal Dutch/Shell was instrumental in bringing scenarios to the attention of the business world. This article looks at how this was achieved and its legacy for today’s organisations.
Top Tips for Effective Planning
If you're already quite confident about making plans, these simple and to the point top tips will act as a helpful guide or reminder. You can use them to help you devise a new plan, or run through them after you've completed a new plan to check you've captured everything.
Idon Model of Scenario Planning
Idon Associates is an international consultancy, specialising in strategic thinking. Their approach to scenario planning is outlined in this article.
The Mont Fleur Scenarios
An article outlining the lessons from the Mont Fleur Scenarios used to focus public and political attention on the direction South Africa should take in the wake of the dismantling of Apartheid.
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Schwartz’s 8-Step Process
In his best-selling book, 'The Art of the Long View', Peter Schwartz advocates a basic eight-step process for those embarking upon a scenario planning project. This article outlines Schwartz’s advice.
Scenario Planning Overview
Scenario planning can help organisations to plan long-term by developing hypotheses to enable a vision of what might happen in the future. This article looks at some of the leading thinkers, the scenario planning process and some of the advantages and disadvantages.
Stages of Scenario Planning
Lawrence Wilkinson’s article, 'How to Build Scenarios', outlines the basic components necessary to create an effective scenario strategy within an organisation.
Operational Plans
Here we examine what makes an effective operational plan, and how to test it.
Considering The Future Using Scenario Planning
This exercise is an excellent way to kick off an exploration of planning for the future and its benefits for the organisation. The exercise can also be easily adapted to tackle the future of departmental or organisational aspirations, or a particular product/service. Allow 30 minutes for completion.
Aligning Objectives To Strategy
How do organisations know that everyone is working towards the same overall goals? And how do you make sure that everybody’s contribution counts? We outline the importance of ensuring there is a clear line of sight between individual performance objectives and the organisation’s strategic plan.